The Larks Still Bravely Singing Fly

This article was originally published on Five Thôt.

We found Choeung Ek more or less by accident. It was on the way.

I love Southeast Asia, I always have. I am treating my mother to a road-trip from Saigon to Bangkok as a 70th-birthday present but also because I want her to love it the way I do. The trip is going well. She grew up in the tropics, and this place, with its mangoes and palm trees and firecracker sun, brings her back to her childhood.

The ten-mile tuk-tuk ride to the memorial costs us five dollars round-trip. Everything here is priced in American money. Admission is five dollars per person and includes rental of a high-tech headset that serves as an audio guide for the tour. Dante had Virgil, I get this gizmo. Headsets are available in English, German, Spanish — almost in any language other than Khmer. Choeung Ek is for foreigners now.

It isn’t what I expected.  Continue reading “The Larks Still Bravely Singing Fly” »

The future: better than it used to be

In an 1998, the then-Enron adviser and future Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman wrote article for Red Herring magazine, titled, apparently without irony, “Why most economists’ predictions are wrong.”  After mocking the already-late Herman Kahn’s book The Year 2000 for only getting most things right (cell-phones, VCRs, satellite dishes) but not everything, Krugman then went on to make a string of utterly risible predictions of his own, concluding with, and I quote:

  • The growth of the Internet will slow drastically, as the flaw in “Metcalfe’s law”–which states that the number of potential connections in a network is proportional to the square of the number of participants–becomes apparent: most people have nothing to say to each other! By 2005 or so, it will become clear that the Internet’s impact on the economy has been no greater than the fax machine’s.
  • As the rate of technological change in computing slows, the number of jobs for IT specialists will decelerate, then actually turn down; ten years from now, the phrase information economy will sound silly.
  • Sometime in the next 20 years, maybe sooner, there will be another ’70s-style raw-material crunch: a disruption of oil supplies, a sharp run-up in agricultural prices, or both. And suddenly people will remember that we are still living in the material world and that natural resources matter.

Read the whole thing.  And laugh and laugh and laugh.

Remembering The End Of The World As We Know It.

This article originally appeared on FIVETHôT.

De profundis clamavi ad te, Domine
(From the depths, I have cried out to you, O Lord)
Psalm 130

Funny how even in the egalitarian US, we assort ourselves by rank. Tony, the oldest of us and most senior with the company, was driving; the next most senior, Oppy — David Oppenheimer — was shotgun. The two youngest were in the back, me and David Garfield, inevitably called Garf by analogy.

The little car wended up the mountain road, and we came to a high metal gate. An armed guard came out of the shack and stuck his head in the window. “You have any cameras or recording equipment?” No, we chorused — this was long before cell-phones. “You have any fire-arms or narcotics?”

Another chorus of no. but I muttered “What do you need?” under my breath, Continue reading “Remembering The End Of The World As We Know It.” »

Mad Tourist Disease

This article originally appeared on FIVETHôT.

Two cows are talking, and one says, “You know, Bob, I’m worried about this ‘mad-cow disease’,” and the other cow answers…

There are about 10 endings to this joke and my favorite is “and the other cow answers, ‘Holy crap, a talking cow!’”

My second-favorite, and more relevant to this article I’m trying to write, is “and the other cow answers, ‘Well, that shouldn’t affect us chickens.’” Continue reading “Mad Tourist Disease” »

Wonderful robots are taking our jobs

This article originally appeared on FIVETHôT.

My estimate is that in the last 200 years, technology has destroyed 98% of all jobs.

In 1813, the population of the world was about a billion people, of whom probably more than 800 million worked: they hewed wood, or drew water, or plowed, or raised chicken. Unlike the lilies of the field, they toiled and they spun: hard, grinding, endless labor.

Using today’s technology, it would take (by my very rough calculations) only 16 million people to produce everything — the food, the clothing, the buildings — that took the entire world to make back in the bad old days. Continue reading “Wonderful robots are taking our jobs” »

One more law

The San Francisco Chronicle in a rare burst of actual journalism traced the path of a single weapon, a 9mm Hi-Point semiautomatic pistol that was purchased in Walsenburg, Colorado, by Sanae Quiroz-Jones and Jerry Jones. The Joneses gave the gun to their nephew Travis Price, who was conveniently in the gun-trafficking business. Price mailed the gun to his girlfriend Wendy Gardiner in Fairfield, California. Gardiner sold it to a marijuana grower in Laytonville, Mendocino County, California, who sold it to an casino employee in town. The casino employee traded it to a high-school student named Aaron Campbell, in return for a pit-bull puppy. Several months later, Campbell, distraught over the death of his mother, used the gun to kill himself. Continue reading “One more law” »

Going off the deep end

The arguments supporting Luddism, the belief that technology is eradicating jobs and creating unemployment, are getting subtler — but they’re still wrong.

Imagine you and your family are visiting a swimming pool, and the life-guard comes to have a talk with you. Your kids, he tells you, are at one end of the pool, and they are splashing all the water towards the other end.

You apologize for their disturbing the other bathers and tell him you’ll speak to them.

“That isn’t the problem,” the lifeguard continues. “The real problem is, they will pile all the water up at the other end of the pool.” Continue reading “Going off the deep end” »

Lousy robots are taking our jobs

Did you think that when Jonas Salk discovered the polio vaccine in 1955, he worried about all the people he was putting out of work? The people who made, sold and repaired iron lungs. The doctors and nurses and attendants for the ill. The morticians. All those children will still die, eventually, but not for decades, and even an undertaker has a family to feed today. Did Salk ever think about that?
Continue reading “Lousy robots are taking our jobs” »